#expectancy

Live trade-planning analytics built on the geometry of a setup, the numbers a trader checks before pulling the trigger, computed on demand from the entry, stop and target you pass in — no key, no cache, nothing stored. The plan endpoint turns an entry, stop-loss and target into the risk and reward per unit, the reward-to-risk ratio and the break-even win rate — the minimum win rate that makes the trade profitable — and, if you supply an account size and a risk percent, the position size, risk amount and reward amount. The targets endpoint projects target prices at chosen R-multiples of the stop distance, so you can ladder out at 1R, 2R and 3R. The expectancy endpoint turns a reward-to-risk ratio and a win rate into the expected value per trade in R and the profit factor, telling you whether an edge is positive. This is a trade-geometry planner, fundamentally different from account-based position sizers, forward Monte-Carlo simulators and backward trade-journal analyzers: it reasons from the entry, stop and target. Works for any market — forex, stocks, crypto or futures — and for long or short. Computed locally and deterministically, so it is instant and private. Ideal for trade journals, risk checklists, broker tools and trading dashboards. Live, nothing stored. 3 compute endpoints. For Kelly position sizing use a trading-risk API; for a full outcome distribution use a strategy simulator.

api.oanor.com/tradesetup-api

Live Monte-Carlo simulation of a trading strategy's outcome that traders run to judge an edge — computed on demand and reproducibly, no key, nothing cached. Run a sequence of trades many times from a win rate, reward-to-risk payoff and risk-per-trade, and get the distribution of final equity, the probability of profit, the probability of ruin and the drawdown distribution; get the modelled chance of blowing up the account; or get the analytical edge — expectancy per trade, breakeven win rate and profit factor. Every run is seeded, so the same inputs always give the same numbers. A strategy-outcome engine, distinct from position-sizing tools and price simulators: it turns an edge into the equity, drawdown and ruin a strategy faces.

api.oanor.com/strategysim-api